Pre-tourney Rankings
Georgia St.
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#98
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#142
Pace66.1#208
Improvement+0.3#155

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#195
Improvement+1.2#99

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#27
Improvement-0.9#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 67   @ Washington L 74-91 29%     0 - 1 -6.4 -2.1 -2.4
  Nov 13, 2011 286   Portland L 61-66 87%     0 - 2 -12.3 -12.9 +0.3
  Nov 14, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic L 77-84 76%     0 - 3 -9.4 +6.6 -16.2
  Nov 18, 2011 209   McNeese St. W 69-50 84%     1 - 3 +13.2 -7.9 +20.9
  Nov 22, 2011 279   @ Samford W 55-47 79%     2 - 3 +4.5 -14.9 +20.5
  Nov 26, 2011 285   Liberty W 72-50 92%     3 - 3 +11.3 -4.5 +16.9
  Nov 29, 2011 343   @ South Carolina St. W 85-54 95%     4 - 3 +16.5 +4.5 +12.3
  Dec 01, 2011 231   Florida International W 73-47 87%     5 - 3 +18.8 -4.5 +22.7
  Dec 03, 2011 290   William & Mary W 66-34 92%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +20.9 -8.0 +31.6
  Dec 10, 2011 215   Rhode Island W 96-64 85%     7 - 3 +25.8 +12.3 +11.5
  Dec 17, 2011 240   @ Utah Valley W 71-68 72%     8 - 3 +1.9 -2.8 +4.7
  Dec 22, 2011 237   Georgia Southern W 72-52 88%     9 - 3 +12.1 -1.8 +14.5
  Jan 02, 2012 63   Drexel W 58-44 53%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +18.1 -9.6 +28.4
  Jan 04, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 55-53 26%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +13.7 -7.2 +21.0
  Jan 07, 2012 112   @ George Mason L 58-61 41%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +4.4 -8.4 +12.8
  Jan 12, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington W 75-61 88%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +6.2 -4.0 +9.9
  Jan 14, 2012 331   Towson W 57-42 97%     13 - 4 5 - 1 -2.7 -21.3 +18.9
  Jan 18, 2012 200   @ Northeastern L 57-60 63%     13 - 5 5 - 2 -1.5 -6.5 +4.6
  Jan 21, 2012 166   @ Delaware L 74-77 2OT 56%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +0.5 -9.7 +10.7
  Jan 23, 2012 249   James Madison W 74-58 89%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +7.5 -11.3 +17.2
  Jan 25, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 46-68 28%     14 - 7 6 - 4 -11.1 -13.2 -1.4
  Jan 28, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 58-59 50%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +3.9 -6.0 +9.8
  Feb 01, 2012 236   @ UNC Wilmington W 68-53 72%     15 - 8 7 - 5 +14.0 -6.8 +20.6
  Feb 04, 2012 218   @ Hofstra W 59-43 67%     16 - 8 8 - 5 +16.3 -0.3 +20.0
  Feb 08, 2012 200   Northeastern W 61-59 83%     17 - 8 9 - 5 -3.3 -4.7 +1.7
  Feb 11, 2012 166   Delaware L 77-80 OT 79%     17 - 9 9 - 6 -6.3 -0.3 -5.9
  Feb 14, 2012 249   @ James Madison W 67-64 74%     18 - 9 10 - 6 +1.3 +4.1 -2.3
  Feb 18, 2012 171   Texas San Antonio W 82-71 79%     19 - 9 +7.3 +10.7 -2.8
  Feb 22, 2012 107   Old Dominion L 60-65 OT 66%     19 - 10 10 - 7 -4.2 -8.7 +4.5
  Feb 25, 2012 290   @ William & Mary W 64-60 81%     20 - 10 11 - 7 -0.3 -2.2 +2.5
  Mar 02, 2012 218   Hofstra W 85-50 78%     21 - 10 +31.9 +20.5 +15.0
  Mar 03, 2012 112   George Mason L 59-61 54%     21 - 11 +2.0 -6.3 +8.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%